Red Sunday - 8 January 2040
Changing Climate, Changing Practices: The role of sector and community partnerships in managing bushfire risk
So close to the new beginning - Implementing the Australian Fire Danger Rating System (AFDRS)
WORKSHOP 1
WORKSHOP 2
SEMINAR 1
12:00 - 16:00
10:00 - 15:00
10:00 - 16:00
Red Sunday - 8 January 2040
Changing Climate, Changing Practices: The role of sector and community partnerships in managing bushfire risk
So close to the new beginning - Implementing the Australian Fire Danger Rating System (AFDRS)
Workshop hosted by: Bureau of Meteorology
Workshop hosted by: Department of Environment, Land, Water & Planning
Seminar hosted by: AFAC and NSW Rural Fire Service
7:30 - 18:30
9:15 - 9:45
9:45 - 10:30
10:30 - 10:55
10:55 - 11:40
11:40 - 12:10 [REMOTE]
12:20 - 13:15
13:20 - 13:40
13:40 - 14:00
14:00 - 14:20
14:20 - 14:40
14:40 - 15:05
15:10 - 15:30
15:30 - 15:50
15:50 - 16:10
16:10 - 16:30
16:30 - 16:35
16:40 - 17:25
17:25 - 18:10
18:15 - 20:15
Conference registration & information desk open
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
Welcome to Country | Opening ceremony - President of IAWF
KEYNOTE 1: The latest science of our changing climate
Dr Sophie Lewis, ACT Commissioner for Sustainability and the Environment
Session sponsored by:
MORNING TEA
KEYNOTE 2: Climate and fire – learnings from the political interface
Greg Mullins, Climate Councillor, fmr Commissioner of Fire & Rescue NSW
KEYNOTE 3: A NASA perspective: Global to local connections between fire, weather, and climate
Dr Amber Soja, Research Fellow, National Institute of Aerospace
Session sponsored by:
LUNCH
STREAM 1
STREAM 2
STREAM 3
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
Room: Grand Ballroom 1 & 2
Room: Grand Ballroom 5
Climate change and fire
Understanding and engaging communities
Readiness and response
Spreading like Wildfire – the rising threat of extraordinary landscape fires: a United Nations environment program rapid response assessment
Andrew Sullivan, CSIRO
Learning alongside community: a contemporary approach to post-fire engagement
Peta M O’Donohue, SA Country Fire Service; Fiona L Dunstan, Bureau of Meteorology
Moneyball for Fire: analytics in Wildfire response
Nick McCarthy, Country Fire Authority
Global increases in forest fire risk under climate change based on daily fire-atmospheric
water demand relationships
Hamish Clarke, NSW Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub
Using Behavioural Insights methods to encourage community behaviour change
Jodi Braszell, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning; Bernice Plant, Monash University
Theorizing mutual aid in Wildland Fire: benefits, challenges, and emerging pressures
Eric B Kennedy, York University, Canada
Review of the climate mechanisms behind the occurrence of extreme wildfire events
around the globe
Lluís Brotons, Ecoland lab, CSIC-CREAF, Spain
Engaging with children today will bring solutions for tomorrow
Tony Jarrett, Central Queensland University
Forest Operation Restrictions: reducing the likelihood of industry caused bushfire
ignitions
Ruth Ryan, HVP Plantations
Fire behaviour during heatwaves and implications in a changing climate
Mika Peace, Bureau of Meteorology
“I never cared about the trees before”: Empowering landholders to undertake
sustainable fire management in the aftermath of Australia’s Black Summer
Hannah Etchells, Nature Conservation Council NSW
Developing a suppression effectiveness model to calculate the likelihood of bushfire
containment
Tim Gazzard, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
AFTERNOON TEA
Climate change and policy in fire management
Understanding and engaging communities
Ignitions and response
Turning fire management policy into practice
Kevin G Tolhurst, University of Melbourne
An ecologist, a bushfire risk planner and a firefighter walked into a bar. Here’s what happened next… Balancing risk and connections to place in fire adapted landscapes: Reflecting on fire ecology engagement approaches
Samantha J Strong, Safer Togther; Jennie Cramp, NSW Rural Fire Service
Exploring the influence of drought and weather on fire incidents and suppression
responses across Victoria, Australia
Matt Plucinski, CSIRO
The role of science in the bushfire-inquiry cycle: a case study from the 2019/20 fire
season
Ross Bradstock, NSW Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub
Strange beauty: Bushfire impacts on people’s experiences of forest landscapes
Rebecca M Ford, University of Melbourne
Spatial patterns in unplanned ignitions in the Australian Capital Territory and their implications for fire management
Nicholas Wilson, Australian National University
What do we already know about improving bushfire laws and policies? Lessons for climate‑adaptive law reform in Australia
Phillipa C McCormack, University of Adelaide
Wildfire Risk Reduction in Portugal: What is the contribution of Community Wildfire Protection Plans?
Fantina Tedim, University of Porto, Portugal
An operational lightning ignition model for early fire detection
Stephen Deutsch, Forest Fire Management Victoria
The California Fire Science Consortium: A decade of fire science exchange
Stacey Frederick, UC Berkeley, USA
Evacuation Behaviour in Peri-urban Fires: A case study of the 2019 Kincade fire in
California, USA
Erica D Kuligowski, RMIT University
Development of a Model of Response for forest firefighting in northeast Victoria
Shaun Lawlor, Forest Fire Management Victoria
BREAK - DELEGATES TO RE-GROUP IN PLENARY
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
KEYNOTE 4: Vicki Woodburn, Group Executive, Australian Climate Service/Bureau of Meteorology
KEYNOTE 5: A national perspective: managing consequences in complex emergencies
Joe Buffone, Director-General, Emergency Management Australia
Session sponsored by:
WELCOME RECEPTION, POSTER SESSION & EXHIBITION
Sponsored by:
7:30 - 17:30
9:00 - 9:20 [REMOTE]
9:20 - 9:40
9:40 - 10:00
10:00 - 10:45
10:45 - 11:10
11:15 - 11:35
11:35 - 11:55
11:55 - 12:15
12:15 - 12:35
12:35 - 13:30
13:55 - 14:15
14:15 - 14:35
14:35 - 14:55
14:55 - 15:15
15:15 - 15:40
15:45 - 16:05
16:05 - 16:25
16:25 - 16:45
16:50 - 17:00
17:00 - 17:50
18:00
19:00 - 22:30
Conference registration & information desk open
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
KEYNOTE 6: Erasing the Ancestors: Indigenous Fire in the Boreal
Amy Christianson, Indigenous Fire Specialist, Parks Canada
KEYNOTE 7: Neglect of Country and the rise of catastrophic bushfires in southeast Australia
Assoc. Prof Michael-Shawn Fletcher, University of Melbourne
KEYNOTE 8: Cultural land management in southeastern Australia – Black Summer final report
Oliver Costello, Firesticks and Jagun Alliance Aboriginal Corporation
PANEL 1: Working together – Dr Timothy Neale (Facilitator)
Amy Christianson, Parks Canada | A/Prof Michael-Shawn Fletcher, University of Melbourne | Oliver Costello, Firesticks and Jagun Alliance Aboriginal Corporation
MORNING TEA
STREAM 1
STREAM 2
STREAM 3
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
Room: Grand Ballroom 1 & 2
Room: Grand Ballroom 5
Cultural burning and the 2019/20 fires
Bushfire risk planning
Fire spread and behaviour prediction
Disruption of cultural burning lead to unprecedented wildfires in southeast Australia
Michela Mariani, University of Nottingham, UK
Bush Fire Risk Management Planning: the balance between science and experience
Melissa O’Halloran & Susannah Bilous, NSW Rural Fire Service
A fast, physically based model for predicting long-range firebrand transport in bushfire
plumes
Jeffrey D Kepert, Bureau of Meteorology
Westernised Land Management meets Aboriginal Land Management through incorporating cultural burns
Jacob Keed, Transport Canberra and City Services
Upper Beaconsfield & surrounds: A Community led values-based bushfire risk
mitigation project
Michael Jones, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
A systematic quantitative approach to assessing probabilistic fire spread predictive skill and value of information
Ben Twomey, RedEye
The 2019-20 Australian forest fires are a harbringer of decreased prescribed burning effectiveness under rising extreme conditions
Hamish Clarke, NSW Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub
Toowoomba region bushfire risk analysis: translating risk into land use planning
practice
Laura Gannon, Meridian Urban
A Bayesian probabilistic approach to bushfire rate of spread modelling using line scan data
Michael Storey, University of Wollongong
NSW RFS Fire Behaviour Analysis Unit – adapting to the challenge during the 2019-20 season: lessons learnt and future adaptations
Laurence McCoy, NSW Rural Fire Service
Norfolk Island opportunity for Australasian best-practice bushfire risk management
Rod L Rose, Eco Logical Australia
Simple fuel-moisture functions for empirical fire-spread models
Kevin Tory, Bureau of Meteorology
LUNCH
Lightning Talks
Lightning Talks
Lightning Talks
13:35 - 13:40
Effects of climate change on resilience of fire prone eucalypt communities
Harriet M Simpson-Southward, University of Wollongong
13:40 - 13:45
Predicting biodiversity risk under changing climate and fire regimes
Sarah McColl-Gausden, University of Melbourne
13:45 - 13:50
Megafire-induced interval squeeze threatens vegetation at landscape scales
Tom Le Breton, University of NSW
13:35 - 13:40
Physical modelling for mapping firebrand and heat flux on structures in the wildlandurban
interface (WUI)
Amila Wickramasinghe, Victoria University
13:40 - 13:45
House Loss Probability Model: A Surf Coast case study examining building, street and township vulnerability
William Swedosh, CSIRO
13:45 - 13:50
The ideal defensible space: Findings about Portuguese building resilience
Fantina Tedim, University of Porto, Portugal
13:35 - 13:40
An index for describing the spatial-connectivity of flammable landscapes
Douglas AG Radford, University of Adelaide
13:40 - 13:45
A case study of the Green Valley/Talmalmo (NSW)-Corryong (VIC) fire (30-31 Dec 2019)
Dragana Zovko-Rajak, Bureau of Meteorology
13:45 - 13:50
Assessing soil moisture impacts on surface fuel moisture
Marta Yebra, Bushfire and Natural Hazards Cooperative Research Centre
Fire spread and behaviour prediction
Vegetation dryness
Fuel management impacts and implications
Foreseeing the forecasters: the future development and use of predictive services in Australia
Timothy Neale, Deakin University
Predicting the flammability-switch in wet eucalypt forests
Jane Cawson, University of Melbourne
The culture of sacrificial areas: blackout burning increases long-term fire risk adjacent communities
Diana Virkki, Healthy Land and Water
Communicating the art and science of fire spread prediction
Andrew Sturgess, RedEye
Does drought severity erode wildfire resilience in wet forests of east Australia?
Christopher E Gordon, Western Sydney University
Forest thinning and planned fire mitigate wildfire severity in Australian Eucalyptus open forests
Chris Weston, University of Melbourne
Spark: Australia’s newest national operational bushfire spread simulator
John Bally, AFAC; James Hilton, Data61
Grassland curling prediction using a national seasonal water outlook
Ashkan Shokri, Bureau of Meteorology
Effects of mechanical mastication on fuel properties and bushfire behaviour in Australian fuel types
Bianca J Pickering, University of Melbourne
The application of heuristics to predicting grassfire rate of spread under elevated fire danger conditions
Miguel G Cruz, CSIRO
A forest fuel dryness forecasting system that integrates an automated fuel sensor network, spatially forecast weather variables, landscape attributes and machine learning models
Christopher S Lyell, University of Melbourne
The dynamics of prescribed burn smoke in NSW eucalypt forests
Owen Price, University of Wollongong
AFTERNOON TEA
Fuels and fire
Synoptic and mesoscale meteorology role in fire
Climate change mitigation and adaptation
Adding fuel to the fire: have fires in southeast Australia always burned so hot?
Anthony Romano, University of Melbourne
Meteorological and climatological aspects of some extreme fire event days in eastern Victoria during Black Summer
Graham A Mills, Monash University
Carbon farming and bushfire risk – are we worsening the risks, and what can we do about it?
Cuong Tran, Market Advisory Group
Manipulating fire regimes in sensitive ecosystems to adapt to climate change
Adam Leavesley, ACT Parks and Conservation Service
Synoptic and mesoscale meteorology affecting fire behaviour in southeast New South Wales
Paul Fox-Hughes, Bureau of Meteorology
Linking climate change science, policy and practice: Lessons from the Victorian Fire Management Sector
Chloe Begg, Country Fire Authority
Pyrodiversity, functional heterogeneity and the role of emerging, climate change derived fire regimes on biodiversity
Lluís Brotons, Ecoland lab, CSIC-CREAF, Spain
Estimating smoke emissions using bottom-up and top-down methods for improved smoke forecasting
Fabienne Reisen, CSIRO
Climate induced change in wildfire extent and severity drives tree mortality and carbon balance in Australian temperate forests
Luba Volkova, University of Melbourne
BREAK - DELEGATES TO RE-GROUP IN PLENARY
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
KEYNOTE 9: Fire and climate: A safe future or a resilient future?
Dr Sidney Dekker, Griffith University
Session sponsored by:
DAY 2 CLOSE
CONFERENCE DINNER - The CitiPower Centre, Junction Oval, St Kilda
Sponsored by:
7:30 - 17:30
9:00 - 9:45
9:45 - 10:30
10:30 - 10:55
11:00 - 11:20
11:20 - 11:40
11:40 - 12:00
12:00 - 12:20
12:20 - 13:15
13:40 - 14:00
14:00 -14:20
14:20 - 14:40
14:40 - 15:00
15:00 - 15:25
15:30 - 16:45
16:45 - 17:00
Conference registration & information desk open
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
KEYNOTE 10: Communicating the complexity of fire and climate science
Stephen Oliver, Manager, Documentaries, Australian Broadcasting Corporation
PANEL 2: Communicating the complexity of fire and climate science – David Bruce, Natural Hazards Research Australia (Facilitator)
Stephen Oliver, ABC | Ailie Gallant, Monash University | Anthony Clark, NSW RFS | Fiona Dunston, BoM
MORNING TEA
STREAM 1
STREAM 2
STREAM 3
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
Room: Grand Ballroom 1 & 2
Room: Grand Ballroom 5
Bushfire risk mitigation approaches
Seasonal prediction of fire risk
Ecological resilience and impact
Strategic fuel break costs and benefits: a case study from the Barwon South West
Liam Fogarty, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
Accurately predicting fire season severity from analysis of historic fire climatology
Andy Ackland, Country Fire Authority
The impact of forest fires on long-term streamflow and water yields in Melbourne’s water catchments
Gary J Sheridan, University of Melbourne
Maximising bushfire risk reduction and minimising environmental impact: a novel local government approach using manual fuel reduction
Jeremy Little, Mornington Peninsula Shire
Predicting bushfire risks for Victoria over multiple weather streams using Bayesian Network Analyses
Erica Marshall, University of Melbourne
The effect of fire severity patchiness on post-fire recovery dynamics in eucalypt dominated forests of south-eastern Australia
Ross A Bradstock, University of Wollongong
Risk 2.0: a journey along the Victorian risk-based approach to bushfire management
Estrella Melero-Blanca & Mitchell B Stephen, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
Thresholds of fire danger: the need to quantitatively link fire risk metrics and fire activity
Thomas J Duff, Country Fire Authority
Development of Ecological Health Performance Scorecard and Fire Metrics for NSW National Parks
Peta Norris & Ross Peacock, NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service
The fuel management suitability tool – A new way to select the most suitable fire management strategies to reduce wildfire risk
Amelie Jeanneau, University of Adelaide
Progress towards a new National Seasonal Fire Outlook
Paul Gregory, Bureau of Meteorology
Prioritisation tools for post-fire restoration in Mediterranean-type ecosystems in California
Hugh Safford, Vibrant Planet, USA
LUNCH
Lightning Talks
Lightning Talks
Lightning Talks
13:20 - 13:25
Quantifying litter bed ignitability in temperate eucalypt forests
Jamie E Burton, University of Melbourne
13:25 - 13:30
The effects of bushfire disturbances on estuaries
Thayanne L Barros, University of NSW
13:30 - 13:35
Land and fire management strategy mitigation of excessive fuel load following and extreme weather event
Sharon Merritt & Brian Earl, Country Fire Authority
13:20 - 13:25
Securing water supplies in remote areas for fire-fighting in north-east Victoria
David Ross, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
13:25 - 13:30
Rapid inspection of lightning strike ignitions utilising unmanned aerial vehicles with swarming behaviour
Marta Yebra, Australian National University
13:30 - 13:35
Quantifying pump and roll: Leveraging radio-based automatic vehicle location for analysing fire agency tanker production rates
Kristy A Butler & Nick F McCarthy, Country Fire Authority
13:20 - 13:25
Influence of wind and fire interactions on near-bed flame pulsations and flame spread through a vegetative fuel bed
Abhinandan Singh, Worcester Polytechnic Institute
13:25 - 13:30
Seasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia
Rachel Taylor, Australian National University
13:30 - 13:35
Risk 2.0 – fire size prioritisation: developing a tool to support fuel management in landscape management zones
Sarah Loveday, Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning
Future of fires and management
Fire-atmosphere interactions
Fauna and fire
Future fire regimes – the knowns, the hurdles and the unknowns
Trent D Penman, University of Melbourne
Fire-generated tornadic vortices during the Australian 2019/20 bushfire season
Mika Peace, Bureau of Meteorology
Exploring inter-relations between fire, habitat, and mammals in a fragmented South Australian heathy woodland
Simeon Zylinski, University of Melbourne
Shifts in bushfire dynamics and impacts, how can we face them?
Marta Yebra, Australian National University
The roles of vortices in fire environments
Bryan Quaife, Florida State University, USA
A summary of bird responses to fire in central Victoria’s heathy-dry forests, in terms of time-since-fire, fire frequency and the severity of prescribed burns
Diana Kuchinke, Federation University
Wildfire Futures: examining fire management trends, challenges and mitigation options in southern Australia under changing climates
Thomas A Fairman, University of Melbourne
Predicting blow-up fire events: lessons from Black Summer
Rick McRae, University of NSW
Matchstick turns planned burning on its head
Dale Tonkinson, Country Fire Authority
Climate change significantly alters future wildfire mitigation opportunities in south-eastern Australia
Giovanni Di Virgilio, NSW Department of Planning and Environment
Development of a dynamic mapping tool for regions prone to vorticity-driven lateral spread
Rachel L Badlan, University of NSW
Similar fire history does not equate to similar fauna habitat in structurally similar vegetation
Jane S Williamson, NSW Department of Planning and Environment
AFTERNOON TEA
PLENARY
Room: Grand Ballroom 3 & 4
PANEL 3: Fire leaders – Rob Webb, AFAC (Facilitator)
Naomi Stephens, NSW NPWS | Murray Carter, DFES | Chris Hardman, FFMV | Ruth Ryan, HVP | Fiona Gill, DEW | Rob Rogers, NSW RFS
Closing ceremony
FIELD TRIP 1
FIELD TRIP 2
7:30 - 16:00
7:30 - 16:00
Strategic Fuel Breaks in High Bushfire Risk Landscapes - pulling the right levers to ensure resilient communities
Forest fire research: management effects and fire dynamics
Field trip sponsored and hosted by: DELWP
Field trip hosted by: The University of Melbourne
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